Bucknell
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 84.0233Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 20- 6 213 H UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 18-10 215 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 9-21 221 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 14-13 225 A Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 21- 7 308 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 12-19 314 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 6-17 321 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 7-16 325 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 12-10 328 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 16- 3 404 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 12-11 410 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 15- 8 415 A American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 12-11 418 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 4-13 423 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 9-15 426 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 14-13 430 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 8-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Youngstown State 20- 6 14 10 + 3.63
213 H UMBC 18-10 8 5 + 3.22
215 A Penn State 9-21 -12 -11 -1.31
221 H St Bonaventure 14-13 1 3 -2.00
225 A Rider 21- 7 14 10 + 3.60
308 A Arizona State 12-19 -7 -4 - -2.71
314 A Navy 6-17 -11 -10 -0.63
321 H Army 7-16 -9 -6 - -2.94
325 H Colgate 12-10 2 4 - -2.05
328 A Lehigh 16- 3 13 2 +++ 10.71
404 A Holy Cross 12-11 1 -1 1.96
410 H Lafayette 15- 8 7 6 0.70
415 A American 12-11 1 4 - -2.82
418 H Boston University 4-13 -9 1 --- -9.85
423 A Loyola (MD) 9-15 -6 -7 0.88
426 H Holy Cross 14-13 1 2 -0.78
430 A Navy 8-18 -10 -10 0.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Boston University 4-13 -9 1 --- -9.85 308 A Arizona State 12-19 -7 -4 - -2.71 321 H Army 7-16 -9 -6 - -2.94 325 H Colgate 12-10 2 4 - -2.05 415 A American 12-11 1 4 - -2.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Lehigh 16- 3 13 2 +++ 10.71 206 A Youngstown State 20- 6 14 10 + 3.63 213 H UMBC 18-10 8 5 + 3.22 225 A Rider 21- 7 14 10 + 3.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 20- 6 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.02 28.37
3 H UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 18-10 -19.29 20.88 -1.37 1.02 39.77
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 9-21 -6.55 33.61 1.37 1.02 -2.64
3 H St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 14-13 -17.51 22.66 -1.37 1.02 43.40
3 A Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 21- 7 -27.64 12.52 1.37 1.02 28.31
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 12-19 -12.95 27.22 1.37 1.02 -5.90
3 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 6-17 -6.87 33.29 1.37 1.02 -2.80
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 7-16 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 1.02 -5.00
3 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 12-10 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 1.02 41.26
3 A Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 16- 3 -19.54 20.63 1.37 1.02 44.83
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 12-11 -16.29 23.88 1.37 1.02 51.45
3 H Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 15- 8 -20.80 19.36 -1.37 1.02 36.68
3 A American ( 4-12, 78.8) 12-11 -21.06 19.11 1.37 1.02 41.72
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 4-13 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 1.02 -8.52
3 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 9-15 -10.37 29.80 1.37 1.02 -4.58
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 14-13 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.02 45.88
3 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 8-18 -6.87 33.29 1.37 1.02 -2.80
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369.42
|
winning pts = 401.6772 losing points = -32.2602
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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